E guidelines, Ak specifying the relation on the consecutive in time from the antecedent as well as the consequent, i k = l. Fuzzify the time series tendencies A = At = tst – tst-1 )t [0, . . . , l ] and C }, r N, exactly where R is often a pair ( A , A ), A is definitely the i k i develop a rule base: Guidelines = { Rr k antecedent of the rules, Ak is the consequent of the rules and i, k are the indices4.5.Mathematics 2021, 9,6 of6. 7.specifying the relation of the consecutive in time of the antecedent and the consequent, i k = l. Merge the rule base with rules derived from the context: Rules RulesC . Correct the fuzzy sets extracted from the time series along the context boundaries of the intervals of type-2 fuzzy sets: t in f ( At ) = max (in f ( At ), in f ( AC )) t sup( At ) = min(sup( At ), sup( AC )) (7)8.Apply the resulting rule base for fuzzy inference when modeling and predicting time series values.5. Time Series Forecasting with Using of Context The analysis of dynamic data using the context can be presented by the following scheme, Figure 2.Figure 2. Analyzing dynamic data with the context considering.According to the presented scheme: The source data of the proposed approach is the set of modeled objects O. The first operation of the procedure is forming a request by the decision-maker (DM) for PF-06873600 Cancer managing interest objects, setting goals (block #1 of Figure 2). Functions that help to study different object’s behavior: num(O) Onum function for obtaining the values of the numerical attributes of an object or number of child objects of the same type. Function rule(O) Orule for obtaining object behavior, for example as a set rule = A, C , exactly where A is really a set of antecedents, C is often a set of of “if-then” rules: oi consequences.Merging of prior defined outcomes could be the function (block #2 of Figure 2). ^ aggr (Onum , Orule ) oinum , Orule , (eight)^ exactly where Orule is usually a subset with the behavior guidelines for a numeric attribute oinum . Employing various models with unique approaches (statistical, neural, fuzzy) can deliver far better forecasting outcomes (block #3.1). Research show that applying only a single model for time series forecasting is just not the best way [324].Mathematics 2021, 9,7 ofProposition 2. The proposed forecasting scheme defines picking out the model by context data. The selection around the following criteria is based: tendencies, periodic element, length from the time series, presence of outliers, and noise. In accordance with the block #4 on the Figure two Then selection function id: ^ ^ ^ SelectModel (oinum , Orule , TS) oinum , Orule , TS, ^ exactly where TS is actually a set of offered time series models; TS is actually a set of chosen models. The primary task should be to generate a time series model that considers the Thromboxane B2 MedChemExpress constraints and conventions in the time series behavior. The behavior in the context on the object’s functioning is extracted: 1. 2. three. four. five. Time series baseline ybase . The base time series tendency tendbase . Maximum/minimum time series values bounds bound = (ymin , ymax ). The time series tendencies modify rate tend .accept(9)Array of the time series non-anomalous values accept = (ymin , ymax ).acceptThe context information may be divided into two classes: defining time series behavior (time series baseline, the principal tendency) and describing the modeling result, and evaluating forecasted values. The formal definition of each classes is: De f = ybase , tendbase , Desc = bound, tend , accept, ybase , tendbase (ten)The time series model oinum can define as a combin.
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